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Swiss National Bank's September resolution expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The Swiss National Bank's September resolution is expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Exchange Review: The Swiss National Bank decided in September, and it is expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged

XM Exchange Review: 15:30 today, the Swiss National Bank will announce the results of the September interest rate resolution, and the mainstream expectation is that it will maintain the benchmark interest rate of 0.00%. At 16:00, Swiss National Bank President Schlegel held a press conference to focus on his statements on interest rate paths, inflation and the employment market. If the statement is biased, the Swiss franc will suffer a shock.

▲XM chart

In December 2022, the yield on Switzerland's 10-year government bonds reached a stage peak of 1.623%, and then the yield continued to decline. The current latest value is 0.24%. After the Swiss National Bank's benchmark interest rate peaked in June 2023, and continued to remain unchanged for eight times, the Swiss National Bank launched a rate cut in March 2024, and has reached zero interest rates, and there is no room for continued decline. In extreme cases, such as the severe shrinkage of inflation, the Swiss National Bank may initiate a negative interest rate policy. In an environment where mainstream central banks maintain high interest rates, the probability of the Swiss National Bank implementing a negative interest rate policy is extremely low.

▲XM chart

From the economic data perspective, Switzerland is in a situation where the unemployment rate is rising while the inflation rate is falling. In August, the Swiss core CPI annualized 0.7%, lower than the previous value of 0.8%, and well below the moderate inflation standard of 2%. If the downward trend of inflation continues, Switzerland may experience deflation in the future. 8In the month, Switzerland's unemployment rate was 2.8%, well below the 5% alert level. However, in September 2022, Switzerland's unemployment rate was only 2%, and the job market in Switzerland has performed poorly in the past three years.

While Switzerland's benchmark interest rate has reached the limit of zero interest rates, due to the negative risk of inflation and the poor performance of the job market, the Swiss National Bank may seek stimulus measures other than interest rate cuts, which will have a negative impact on the Swiss franc.

▲XM chart

Among the Swiss francs, USDCHF and EURCHF are the most concerned. The above picture is an overlay of Meri and Ori, and the trends of the two are highly resonant. From the medium-term trend, both the US dollar and the euro have a depreciation trend xm-links.compared with the Swiss franc, which seems to be contrary to the impact of the continued interest rate cut by the Swiss franc. In fact, Swiss franc is a safe-haven currency. Although the Swiss franc black swan event in 2015 reduced the safe-haven attributes of Swiss franc, it is still the target of international funds. Under a series of tariff policies of US President Trump, the global economic outlook is expected to be pessimistic. Due to the decline in the credit of the US dollar and the decline in the US dollar index, the safe-haven attribute of the Swiss franc is highlighted, which led to the appreciation of the Swiss franc even if the Swiss National Bank cut interest rates.

XM Exchange Review Risk Warning, Disclaimer, Special Statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM Forex Official Website]: The Swiss National Bank's September resolution is expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged". It is carefully xm-links.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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Swiss National Bank's September resolution expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged

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CATEGORIES

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market news

Swiss National Bank's September resolution expected to maintain zero interest rates unchanged

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason