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Australian dollar/dollar rises to weekly highs, Trump regaining 0.6300 before reciprocal tariffs are introduced

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The Australian dollar/USD rose to the weekly high, and Trump's reciprocal tariffs recovered 0.6300 before the introduction of Trump's reciprocal tariffs. Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On Wednesday (April 2) European session, the Australian dollar/USD fluctuated slightly during the session. The Australian dollar/USD attracted some follow-up buying for the second consecutive trading day, further rebounding from the nearly four-week lows hit on Monday (about the RBA 0.6220 RBA-RBA 0.6215 RBA range). This rally pushed the exchange rate to its intraweek high in early European sessions, and bulls are currently seeking to further expand their rally on the basis of breaking through the RBA 0.6300 RBA integer mark.

State Analysis

The Australian dollar (AUD) continues to gain support from the RBA's less dovish stance that shows that keeping inflation back to its target level remains a priority. In addition, RBA Chairman Brock said the board has not discussed interest rate cuts and has not yet made a decision on the RBA's actions for 5 months. In addition, optimism about the Chinese economy is beneficial to Australian currencies, including the Australian dollar, while the US dollar performed weakly, which together helped the Australian dollar/USD.

Data released on Tuesday showed that the RBA Chinese manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in a year in 3 months. China's official PMI (PMI) came out better than expected on Monday and recently introduced stimulus measures to boost economic recovery, all supporting the Australian dollar related to China's economy. On the other hand, the US dollar continues to struggle to attract a large amount of buying, which further supports the Australian dollar/USD as the market increasingly believes that the Fed will restart its interest rate cut cycle soon.

Nevertheless, there are still constant concerns about the possible impact of US President Trump's tariffs on the economy, and the risk of further escalation of trade frictions.

In addition, the market expects the RBA to cut interest rates at the next policy meeting of the RBA in 5th of the RBA month to be about 70%, which may limit the AUD/USD increase. Traders may also choose to wait and see before the Trump administration announces reciprocity tariffs, as it will affect market sentiment on the export-dependent Australian dollar.

Technical Analysis

Previously, the Australian dollar/USD failed to break through the 0.6330 resistance level, and the Australian dollar/USD started a new round of decline. The current exchange rate and rebounded above 0.6300.

From the 4-hour chart, the pair once fell as low as 0.6218 and closed below the 100 average and 200 average. The pair is currently bounced to around the 200 Average and important Fibonacci levels.

In the upward trend, the pair has successively broken through the 0.6270 level, the key bearish trend line 0.6275, and the 200 moving average 0.6309. If the closing price is above the 0.6300 level, it may set the tone for further rises. In this case, the pair may even break through the previous high of 0.6330 resistance.

In the downward direction, the instant support is around the 0.6220 level. The next key support is around the 0.6200 level. A further decline may cause the pair to fall to 0.6165 levels.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The Australian dollar/USD rose to the weekly high, and Trump's reciprocal tariffs recovered 0.6300 before the introduction of the reciprocal tariffs". It was carefully xm-links.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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Australian dollar/dollar rises to weekly highs, Trump regaining 0.6300 before reciprocal tariffs are introduced

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Australian dollar/dollar rises to weekly highs, Trump regaining 0.6300 before reciprocal tariffs are introduced

Related News

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

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The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason