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market analysis

Gold daily resistance is under pressure, Europe and the United States pay attention to breaking the position

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The daily resistance of gold is under pressure, and Europe and the United States are paying attention to breaking the level." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Macro

Recently, US trade policies have stirred up global financial markets, causing severe fluctuations. Trump warned that if Asian powers do not cancel retaliatory tariffs, they will impose an additional 50% tariff. At the same time, the White House denied reports that Trump is considering suspending 90-day tariffs on countries other than China. Affected by this, U.S. stock markets suffered a setback. The S&P 500 and Dow closed down on Monday, with the Dow falling 349.26 points, or 0.91%, the S&P 500 falling 11.83 points, or 0.23%, and the CBOE volatility index VIX hit its highest closing point in five years. U.S. Treasury yields rebounded on Monday, with the 10-year Treasury yield hitting its biggest single-day gain in a year, suppressing gold prices. However, traders have doubts about the impact of trade taxation and the market fluctuates. Investors may sell U.S. bonds to make up for losses in other assets, and traders pay attention to the dynamics of large creditor sovereign holders such as China. In terms of monetary policy, traders have increased their bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this year, and are expected to cut interest rates by 95 basis points by the end of the year, with a possibility of a rate cut in May of about 57%. This week, the U.S. consumer and producer price report in March attracted attention, with job growth exceeding expectations last month but the unemployment rate rose. The impact of future trade policies and economic data on financial markets remains to be seen.

Dollar Index

In terms of the US dollar index, the price of the US dollar index generally showed an upward trend on Monday. The price rose to the highest level of 103.51 on the day, the lowest level of 102.152 on the spot, and the closing price was 103.462 on the spot. Looking back at the performance of the US index price on Monday, the price fluctuated in the morning after the short-term fluctuation and further rose based on the four-hour support. The US market price tested to the daily resistance area, and finally the daily positive ended. Overall, the overall attention will continue to be paid to the daily resistance and the four-hour support breaking the heel.Follow.

When conducting cycle analysis, from the weekly level, the position of 106.10 is worthy of continuous attention, and it is a key point for judging the mid-line trend. Once the price is below 106.10, the mid-term market tends to be bearish.

Switch to the daily level, you need to pay attention to the position of 103.70, which is the key to the band trend. If the price is below 103.70, the market under pressure will continue, and this situation needs to be closely tracked in the future.

Looking at the four-hour level, we should currently pay attention to the supporting role of the area 102.60-102.70. When the price remains above the 102.60-102.70 area, the short-term market tends to be bullish.

However, from the one-hour level, the price shows signs of a short-term decline. Therefore, we must focus on whether the support level of the four-hour level can be maintained.

In general, before the price successfully breaks through the daily resistance level, beware of the price breaking the four-hour support level. As for the current market conditions, it is recommended to operate and respond according to the right-hand trading method.

The US dollar index has a long range of 102.40-50, with a defense of 5 US dollars, and a target of 103-103.70

Gold

In terms of gold, the overall price of gold showed a sharp decline on Monday. The price rose to the highest point of 3055.35 on the day, and fell to the lowest point of 2956.44 on the spot, closing at 2981.8 on the spot. In response to the short-term gap opening low during the early trading session on Monday, the price quickly rebounded to the daily resistance area and then fluctuated in the European session. At the same time, the price fell again after the trading session and hit a low point in the week. Finally, the daily line ended with a big negative. The subsequent price is under pressure under daily resistance, and the weekly support area is focused below.

Through multi-cycle xm-links.comprehensive analysis, we can have a clearer understanding of the current price trend. Currently, the price is above the support levels of the weekly, monthly and daily lines, which shows that from a medium- and long-term perspective, the market is in a bullish trend. Specifically, the support level at the weekly level is near the 2900 area, and this position needs to be paid attention to in subsequent analysis.

Look at the daily level again, the resistance level is near the 3055 area, while the resistance level at the short-term four-hour level is in the 3035 area. Since the price is currently below the multi-cycle resistance level, we still recommend treating it with a bearish approach in terms of operational strategies.

From a shorter time period, i.e., one-hour level, prices have shown certain signs of rebound recently. Therefore, you can wait for the price to rebound near the four-hour resistance level to observe whether it will fall further under pressure. Follow the 2970-2940-2900 area belowsupport level for the domain.

Gold 3035-36 has a short range, defense is 3056, target is 2970--2940-2900

Europe and the United States

Europe and the United States have generally shown an upward trend on Monday. The price fell to 1.0878 on the day and rose to 1.1049 on the spot and closed at 1.0905 on the spot. Looking back at the performance of European and American markets on Monday, the morning opening price first opened low in the short term, and the price stopped above the daily support. At the same time, the price tested upward to four-hour resistance. The price is currently continuing to pay attention to the daily support and the four-hour resistance range after breaking.

When conducting multi-cycle analysis, from the perspective of monthly lines, we need to pay attention to the support situation in the 1.0720 area in April, which is the key dividing point for judging long-term trends.

Switch to the weekly level, we should pay attention to the support of the 1.0590 area. It plays a key role in judging the mid-term trend and is an important watershed in the mid-term trend.

Looking at the daily level again, we need to pay attention to the support in the 1.0860 area. This position is the key to the band trend and determines the development direction of the band market.

From the short-term four-hour level, the resistance in the 1.0980 area is more critical, and it is an important factor affecting the short-term trend.

In addition, from the one-hour level, the price shows a trend of further upward movement. Therefore, the subsequent focus is on whether the price can break through the four-hour resistance level, which will play a decisive role in the short-term market trend.

Europe and the United States pay attention to the 1.0850-1.0980 range breaks

[Finance data and events that are focused today] Tuesday, April 8, 2025

①07:50 Japan's February trade account

②14:45 France's February trade account

③18:00 United States March NFIB Small Business Confidence Index

④ The next day, EIA released its monthly short-term energy outlook report

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⑤The next day, the Federal Reserve Daly attended the dialogue event

⑥The next day, the next day, the API crude oil inventories from the United States to April 4

Note: The above is only personal opinion and strategy, for reference and xm-links.communication only, and has not given any investment to customers.It has nothing to do with the customer's investment, and it is not used as a basis for placing an order.

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