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  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

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Employment shrinkage and wages slow down, analysis of short-term trends of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange on September 4

Wonderful introduction:

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Employment shrinkage and wages slow down, and analysis of short-term trends of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange on September 4". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Global Market Review

1. European and American market conditions

The three major U.S. stock index futures rose and fell mixed, Dow futures fell 0.04%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.17%, and Nasdaq futures rose 0.18%. The German DAX index rose 0.81%, the UK FTSE 100 index rose 0.17%, the French CAC40 index rose 0.00%, and the European Stoke 50 index rose 0.39%.

2. Market news interpretation

Wages slow down, and UK inflation remains sticky

⑴ A survey released by the Bank of England on Thursday showed that the number of British corporate employment fell the largest in nearly four years, and wage growth is expected to slow down. In the three months ended August, enterprise employment levels fell by 0.5% year-on-year, the biggest drop since the third quarter of 2021. ⑵ The respondents expect an average salary increase of 3.6% in the next year, down from 4.6% in the past 12 months, the lowest level since the Bank of England began investigating the issue in May 2022. ⑶ Despite slowing employment and wage growth, the surveyed xm-links.companies expect to raise prices by 3.7% in the next year, with monthly data showing that expectations in August fell from 3.9% to 3.5%. ⑷ Institutional analysts said that the rate of decline in planned wage growth has slowed down, and xm-links.companies are dealing with higher employment costs by laying off employees rather than cutting wages. He does not expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates this year.

The Bank of England tightens Treasury bond repurchase rules to prevent market risks

⑴The Bank of England proposed a plan to tighten the regulation of the UK government bond repurchase market on Thursday, which allows financial institutions toThe organization temporarily converts the British Treasury bonds held into cash. ⑵ This move aims to enhance the market's risk resistance, as it has been under tremendous pressure when Treasury bond prices plummeted after former British Prime Minister Tras' "mini budget" in 2022. ⑶Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden said that market-oriented finance and pound core interest rate market absorption rather than amplifying the impact is crucial. ⑷ The Bank of England proposed a plan that requires a greater central liquidation of UK Treasury bond repurchase transactions to reduce the risk of transaction defaults and limit the risks brought about by high leverage and disorderly closing of centralized positions. ⑸ Another option is to set a minimum risk margin or "discount" by the Bank of England's non-central liquidation of Treasury bond repurchase transactions. ⑹The Bank of England hopes to receive preliminary feedback from the financial industry and the public by November 28, and will later consider the next steps with other British authorities and conduct more detailed consultations.

Goldman Sachs has surprisingly predicted that gold prices will break through the $4,000 mark

⑴Goldman Sachs Group said that if private investors increase their allocation to gold, the price of gold may easily exceed $4,000 by mid-2026. Spot gold prices have hit an all-time high of $3578.50 per ounce on Wednesday. ⑵ Goldman Sachs expects that against the backdrop of the central bank's continued strong gold purchases, the price of gold will reach US$3,700 by the end of 2025 and US$4,000 in mid-2026. ⑶ The institution pointed out that if private investors turn more assets from US dollars to gold, the price of gold may even rise to US$4,500 per ounce. In addition, if 1% of private funds are relocated from the US bond market to gold, the price of gold may approach $5,000 per ounce. ⑷ The agency believes that the Fed's independence is challenged, which may trigger higher inflation, higher long-term bond yields, weaker stock markets and a decline in the dollar reserve currency status. Gold, as a store of value that does not rely on institutional trust, will benefit from it.

European Central Bank official hawkish remarks run counter to market expectations

⑴ European Central Bank official Schnabel recently made hawkish remarks, saying that central banks around the world may start hike interest rates earlier than many people expected. ⑵ Her remarks have gained attention, which confirms some concerns about structural inflation, and that central banks that are still considering further rate cuts may have limited time and space. ⑶ Schnabel's reason for hikes is that the world is becoming increasingly fragmented, the global supply chain is declining, fiscal spending is increasing, and population aging. ⑷ However, despite the hawkish official’s warning, the market is moving in the opposite direction and has even excluded any risk of interest rate hikes in 2026. ⑸ Data shows that the Euribor spread reached zero two weeks ago, but it has since turned negative, and is currently -3.5 basis points. ⑹ Nevertheless, analysts believe that the European Central Bank may raise interest rates in September 2026, given the possibility of rising medium-term inflation risks.

The central bank may suspend interest rate cuts, and the economic outlook of the eurozone is stable

⑴ Institutional surveys show that most of themEconomists (66 out of 69) expect the ECB to keep deposit rates unchanged at 2.00% at its September 11 meeting, consistent with market expectations. ⑵ Last month, economists disagree on whether the ECB would cut further interest rates, but recent data showed that inflation is close to the target of 2% and the unemployment rate is at a historical low, which led most people to believe that the ECB has xm-links.completed its rate cut cycle. ⑶ Nearly 60% of economists (40 out of 69) predict that the ECB will keep interest rates unchanged this year. ⑷ In terms of economic growth, economists predict that the eurozone economy will grow by 1.2% this year and 1.1% next year, which is basically the same as the August survey results. ⑸ However, economists also remind that there are still some risks in the region, such as the shrinking of Germany's economy and the political instability of some euro zone countries.

Russia's economy is stagnant, and the central bank faces huge pressure to cut interest rates

⑴ The chief executive of the Russian Federal Savings Bank warned on Thursday that the Russian economy is stagnating and may fall into recession unless the central bank cuts interest rates sharply. ⑵ He pointed out that although Russia's economic growth rate was 4.1% and 4.3% in 2023 and 2024, the heavy pressure of high interest rates is causing its economy to slow down sharply. ⑶ The CEO said bank data showed that economic growth was close to zero in July and August, reflecting that the economy is experiencing a "technical stagnation." ⑷ The Russian Central Bank has previously lowered the key interest rate from 21% to 18%, but the governor believes that in order to achieve economic recovery, interest rates need to be reduced to 12% or less. ⑸ The Russian Ministry of Finance also predicts that economic growth will slow to 1.5% in 2025, far lower than the previous estimate of 2.5%, mainly due to high interest rates curbing borrowing. ⑹The Minister of Economic Affairs also said that some machinery manufacturing xm-links.companies have switched to working four days a week to reduce costs, indicating insufficient demand. ⑺At present, the Russian Central Bank is facing huge pressure to cut interest rates from senior officials and business leaders.

The UK budget is approaching, and the value of pound options is highlighted

⑴ Although the market is growing concerns about the UK budget, the pound options market may provide potential investment opportunities. ⑵ The market has strong demand for pound options after the November 26 budget announcement date, which has brought implicit volatility to a few months high. ⑶ However, short-term pound options that are about to expire may be ignored by the market. ⑷ Historically, details of the UK budget were often leaked to the media a few weeks or even days before the official announcement, which could lead to early responses from the foreign exchange market. ⑸ Therefore, investors who buy short-term GBP options before the budget is announced may receive returns, especially those that buy at a lower premium. ⑹ Considering the heavy debt burden in the UK, the upcoming budget is expected to introduce some uninvited measures. ⑺The market's concerns about the UK's fiscal situation have emerged, with long-term Treasury bond yields once rose to their highest level since 1998 this week.

3. Trends of major currency pairs in the New York Stock Exchange before the market

Euro/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, the euro/dollar fell and is now at 1.1648, a drop of 0.13%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the price of (EUR/USD) rose cautiously on the last trading day as the negative impact of its trading below the EAM50 continues, remaining below the 1.1660 resistance, and negative signals appear on (RSI), exacerbating negative pressure after reaching an exaggerated overbought level.

GBP/USD: As of 20:23 Beijing time, GBP/USD fell and is now at 1.3436, a drop of 0.05%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (GBPUSD) price fell on the last trading day, affected by the stability of the key resistance of 1.3460, especially the impact of breaking through the bullish trend line on a short-term basis and the negative overlap signal on the (RSI), negative pressure from trading below the EMA50 continues to exist, and after reaching the overbought level, it is exaggerated xm-links.compared to the price trend, exacerbating the negative pressure on its upcoming trading.

Spot gold: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot gold fell, now at 3546.63, a drop of 0.36%. Before the New York Stock Market, the (gold) price closed higher in the last intraday trading after it was unloaded with its apparent overbought status on the (RSI), noting a positive overlap signal that increased the positive momentum, especially as the main bullish trend dominated, its trading accompanied by a supportive small slash of the track, indicating its advantage and dominance in the near term.

Spot silver: As of 20:23 Beijing time, spot silver fell, now at 40.962, a drop of 0.53%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (silver) price rose on the last trading day, with a major bullish trend dominant, and along a small slash of the trend, positive pressure from trading above the EMA50 continues to exist, and in addition (RSI) there is a positive overlap signal, which indicates that a positive divergence begins to form after reaching the oversold level.

Crude oil market: As of 20:23 Beijing time, U.S. oil fell, now at 63.350, a drop of 0.95%. Before the New York Stock Exchange, the (crude oil) price continued the decline of the previous trading day, reaching our morning target at the $62.85 support level, while being affected by a short-term breakthrough of bullish correction trend line, negative pressure from trading below the EMA50 continues, on the other hand, we noticed (RSI) has shown positive signals after reaching oversold levels, which may reduce upcoming losses, especially if the above support levels are stable.

4. Institutional View

Morgan Stanley: Apple will slightly raise the price of the iPhone 17 series

Morgan Stanley: Apple (AAPL.O) will slightly raise the price of the iPhone 17 series at the 9th press conference, which is the first increase since 2017. The iPhone 17 Air will be $100 more than the iPhone 16 Plus price; the iPhone 17 Pro starts at $1,099 (256GB), and the low-capacity option will be cancelled. The new 1TBAir is priced at $1,399. These adjustments are expected to increase the average selling price (ASP) in fiscal 2026 by 5%, much higher than general market expectations, and demand is not expected to be affected. The event will also release new Apple Watch and AirPods, but no major Apple Intelligence updates are expected.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Employment shrinks and wages slow down, and the short-term trend analysis of spot gold, silver, crude oil, and foreign exchange on September 4" was carefully xm-links.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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