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market analysis
A collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis】: Highlights of positive and negative news that affect the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
At a time when the global economic and geopolitical situation is xm-links.complex and changeable, the foreign exchange market is affected by the interweaving of many factors every day. On July 25, 2025, a series of important news is reshaping the pattern of the foreign exchange market. Investors need to pay close attention to these positive and negative news in order to make wise investment decisions.
1. Impact at the economic data level
From the global economic data, the data released by some countries and regions are mixed. The economic data released by the United States recently showed differentiated performance, and the manufacturing data was poor, indicating that the US manufacturing industry was under certain pressure, which created a certain negative for the US dollar. Although the service industry has certain support, growth also faces challenges, and the uncertainty of overall economic data increases the xm-links.complexity of the US dollar trend. The pace of economic recovery in Europe is slow, and the PMI data of the euro zone manufacturing and service industry is weak, indicating that the momentum of economic growth in Europe is insufficient, which has a significant suppression on the euro in the foreign exchange market. On the contrary, the economic data of some emerging economies is relatively stable, and some countries have even experienced economic data that have improved beyond expectations, providing certain support for their own currencies and showing a positive side in the foreign exchange market.
2. Central Bank Policy and Regulatory Trends
The Shanghai Headquarters of the People's Bank of China sent an important signal at a press conference on July 24. Shi Jiandong, deputy director of the Macropractice Management Department of the Shanghai Headquarters of the People's Bank of China, said that the next step will continue to promote financial reform tasks steadily and orderly, including promoting the pilot business of xm-links.comprehensive reform of offshore trade and financial services for banks and enterprises with mature conditions, and actively exploring the application of digital RMB in offshore trade settlement. This series of measures will help enhance the RMB's position in cross-border trade and the RMB exchange rate in the foreign exchange market.Stability and development have potentially positive effects. At the same time, Wu Jinyou, deputy director of the Foreign Exchange Management Department, mentioned that in the first half of the year, overseas investors continued to increase their allocation of RMB assets, highlighting international capital's confidence in the long-term stabilization and improvement of China's economy. With the deepening of market opening and the emergence of valuation advantages, the attractiveness of the domestic capital market to foreign capital is expected to continue to increase, which also has a positive impact on the RMB in the foreign exchange market.
Whether globally, the Fed's policy direction remains the focus of attention in the foreign exchange market. Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates as early as September. If the interest rate cut expectations are further strengthened, it will reduce the attractiveness of US dollar assets and put a large downward pressure on the US dollar exchange rate. In contrast, other major global central banks such as the European Central Bank have cut interest rates many times in the past year. The Fed's subsequent interest rate cut space and pace will affect its monetary policies from other central banks, and thus affect the exchange rate relationship between the US dollar and other currencies.
3. Geopolitical and trade situation
In terms of geopolitical situation, although the situation in the Middle East has not deteriorated on a large scale, the potential risks still exist. If the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates again, it may cause sharp fluctuations in crude oil prices, which will have a wide impact on the global economy and foreign exchange market. As an important strategic resource, crude oil price fluctuates will affect the trade balance and inflation levels of various countries, thus having an indirect effect on the exchange rate of currencies in the foreign exchange market.
The trade situation is also a key factor affecting the foreign exchange market. The Trump administration's tariff policy in the United States has high uncertainty, which not only has an impact on the United States' own economy, but also has an impact on the global trade pattern. Adjustments to tariff policies may cause fluctuations in the currency exchange rates of some countries. For example, some countries with high dependence on exports to the United States may face depreciation pressure due to changes in the trade situation. In addition, the progress of trade negotiations between countries also always affects the nerves of the foreign exchange market. If trade negotiations achieve positive results, they will be conducive to the stability or appreciation of the currencies of relevant countries; otherwise, it may cause a decline in the currency exchange rate.
4. Technical aspects and capital flows in the foreign exchange market
From a technical perspective, different currency pairs showed different trends on July 25. Some currency pairs hover around key resistance or support levels, and the game between bulls and bears is fierce. For example, the euro-USD exchange rate has been in a fluctuating range recently. If it can break through the key resistance level, it will bring upside space for the euro; on the contrary, if it falls below the support level, it may fall further. At the same time, capital flow data shows that some funds are flowing out of US dollar assets recently and turning to other monetary assets. For example, some emerging market currencies have attracted inflows of some safe-haven funds, which has promoted the performance of these currencies in the foreign exchange market to a certain extent.
5. Linkage between xm-links.commodity market and foreign exchange market
There is a close linkage between the crude oil market and the foreign exchange market. The pressure of oversupply in the crude oil market has continued to exist recently, and the OPEC+ production increase plan has been steadily advancing, forming a downward pressure on oil pricesforce. Falling oil prices will have a negative impact on the economies and currencies of oil exporters, such as currencies such as the Russian ruble, may face depreciation pressure due to falling oil prices. For oil importers, falling oil prices will help reduce import costs, improve trade revenue and expenditure, and may provide certain support for their own currencies. In addition, precious metal markets such as gold also influence each other with the foreign exchange market. As global economic uncertainty increases, the safe-haven attributes of gold are highlighted. If the price of gold rises, it may attract funds to flow into the gold market, thereby having a certain diversion effect on the demand for currencies such as the US dollar, affecting the flow of funds and exchange rate trends in the foreign exchange market.
In general, on July 25, 2025, the foreign exchange market was affected by the xm-links.combined effect of many positive and negative news, and the market trend was full of uncertainty. When Investors conduct foreign exchange trading, they need to xm-links.comprehensively consider these factors, pay close attention to market trends, and formulate investment strategies with caution.
The above content is all about "【XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis】: Collection of Positive and Negative News that Influence the Foreign Exchange Market". It was carefully xm-links.compiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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